Gamblers vardag

Efter 1 vinst på mina sista 10 rekar här så känns det som ren vinst att avstå från spel sista omgången. Säsongen är sedan klar i Tyskland och då är det väl rimligt att redovisa hur det gått sen i höstas. Nästan alla mina rekar har ju varit handboll. Kanske blir det annat plock i sommar vid OS.

antal spel: 46
vinster: 24
void: 1
förluster: 21

satsat: 96
vunnit: 5,57
ROI: 106%

Som ni ser rasade det rejält från över 120% till 106% på bara 10 rekar. Illa illa, surt känns det såklart. Ett gäng av senaste 20 spelen har varit stolpe ut med torsk med en halvboll och så, med dubbla antalet spel hade det väl jämnat ut sig lite mer antar jag. Nästan samtliga av spelen rasade ordentligt på marknaden (dvs det var inte bara jag som rekade dom), så det tar emot att säga att jag var fel ute, även om det slog rejält fel på slutresultatet på en del. Självförtroendet är ganska stukat just nu men det är bra med tid att repa sig inför hösten. Tyska ligan har legat konsekvent över 110% senaste åren så det är bra nog för att investera mer tid i det framöver.

Glad sommar på alla!

/Bob

Special day today with last home game for the season for some teams.

Main bet:
Bergischer – Balingen, Bergischer -1,5 1.85+ 2/10 bwin, asians… or maybe straight win option
Logic bet. Big fiesta homegame for Bergischer, free tickets, ceremony and so on. And MEGA important to win. Next game will be away vs Löwen so toady is the day they gotta get the necessary points. And they have great chance. Contender is Balingen who got nothing to play for and even if they did, they sucks a lot on the road. Bergischer also is in good shape, solid win last game vs Huttenberg when they needed it under the new coaches. Pure motivation bet and that factor seems not to be counted in odds here.

/Bob

Hüttenberg – Rhein Neckar Löwen… homewin 5.5+ betfair or bwin ½ unit. Or Lay 1.3 for RNL win
RNL lost chance to CL after a disaster second half last game at home vs Flensburg. Now Lijewski also went out injured and this game is pointless. I’m very sure players have about zero motivation here. Hüttenberg struggle on same points as Bergischer and already took points at home vs HSV and Gummerbach (who having a super spring). They are clearly hard to deal with in that small small ”arena”. Tickets sold out and all… RNL will have to work hard for this victory i think.

/Bob

Maginfluensa med barn, så ännu mindre tid att översätta . Ha överseende med engelskan:
took hannover – gummersbach u 62 1.85+ 2/10 pinnacle
pinny opened with 59 line and most bookies had 60,5 here… obviously everybody is betting on over due to Gummersbach last goal festivals. But, most of them came vs opponents that usually are down for running & gunning (Löwen, hsv, flensburg..). I betted on under with Hannover 3 times this season i think and won all. They are not a overteam like they was in early season. They been struggling with a lot of injuries and most probably therefore had to focus more and more and physical defense and slower pace games. Only thing i don’t like with this bet is that the game is pretty much meaningless. Gummersbach also got a final in euro-cup coming up so i doubt they will go too hard on their best players. If that will lead to more or less goals i don’t know, but still i think this line was correct when it opened around 60. a 62 line is based on a result of 32-30 and no way on earth you can give Hannover 32 goals as fair.

/Bob

Kiel – Tus Lubbecke o 56,5 1.85+ 1/10 units, available in netbookies, asians and betfair
Kiel with sore players trying to grab a win here as easy as possible with CL coming up. Kiel a bit looser in defense lately and Lubbecke is coming without their defense general Siodmiak knowing they probably got zero to collect from the zebras. Fair line here 33-25,5 but i keep lower stake due to Lubbeckes latest performances. But, it will be Kiel that will decide what type of game we will have here i think everybody will be happy with a nice little sunday game without too much physical pain.

/Bob

Balingen tar emot Füchse Berlin hemma i en hyfsat meningslös match. Balingen spelar för äran medan Berlin måste vinna för att få poäng till CL-platser. Det lär dock inte bli några problem och jag tror på en relativt avslappnad tillställning där Berlin ser till att göra sina mål framåt. Mindre insats eftersom Balingen alltid är lite knepiga.

Balingen – Füchse Berlin , över 53,5 mål 1.85+ 1/10 units , bwin, nordicbet och några andra bolag

/Bob

Nice game here… Game is for nothing except it is derby. Hannover have many many injuries, this is what coach says:
But the fact that we are missing many players and we probably only three backcourt players and compete even without the left-handed, I expect a balanced game, ”said the 44-year-old. In addition to the long-term absentees (Szucs, Bushman and Jurdžs) threaten Ásgeir Örn Hallgrímsson (capsule), Torge Johannsen (groin) and Frederic Repke (groin) auszufalen.”Behind their use is a big question mark,” says Christopher Nordmeyer.

No way these odds are correct in any way. Hannover is not a scoring team anymore, its clear after they got more and more injuries. Last 5 games have average of 25 goals per game. I think this will be a game where Hannover dont wanna run, but still its a derby that they wanna win. Good chance for Hildesheim to grab some points for confident boost as the play for nothing. I think fair line should be 27-28 here.

So…
Hildesheim +3 1.85+ 2/10 units, and u 58,5 1.85+ 3/10 units (pinny and some netbookies)
For the ones who can play in bwin, they have multiple lines, like u 59,5 1.75 also very nice, i would say even better actually.

/Bob

Orkar inte översätta i vanlig ordning . Hoppas ni kan njuta av min engelska!

Göppingen – Lemgo, Lemgo +1,5 1.85+ 1,5/10 units, netbookies and asians. Bet365 with 1.98 of course worth at least 2 units.
League pretty much dead now for Göppingen. They have a couple of injuries already and Horak stepped off training this week as well. Cup final in EHF coming up in a week so this game is a preparation game in a way. Of course they will take it serious but i don’t think they will risk any half injuries. Form is also pretty bad, they lost last game vs Hannover who had also many injuries, not even close to win that game. Lemgo on the other hand are really show and prove lately and they should. Good team on paper. These last games are very important to Lemgo as they now have cup places in reach. With current situation i have to rate Lemgo stronger than Göppingen and with home field advantage this game is very close to 50/50 to me. I was first considering taking straight win 2.9 on Lemgo but with many close games lately in mind, i prefer handicap. I think fair here is 1.75 on the given line.

/Bob

Late bet cause odds is back
Rhein Neckar Löwen – Fuchse Berlin, Löwen pk 1.87 1/10 units pinnacle
Löwen are never a reliable team, but league is all now as they are out of eurocup. Berlin just flying high after coming back big vs ademar leon in CL. Still Löwen is strong enough to be more favourite at home in my book. Fair -1 even odds. Clear value in such tight game.

/Bob

Flensburg – Hüttenberg, Hüttenberg +8,5 1.99 2/10 units pinnacle (+9 1.85 nordicbet, +9,5 1.83 ladbrokes)
Flensburg just back from long trip to Spain where they won in euro-cup vs Aragon. Form is good but schedule is heavy, only 24 hours rest before this game. Hüttenberg is playing more than well last 10 games with draws vs both Lemgo away and HSV at home. They are clearly not a team to underestimate and for Flensburg a win is all they need here. Players should be pretty worn out and with Glandorf out I think we should have a correct line at +6,5 50% with todays circumstances.

/Bob